Carbonia vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carbonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
SPE
2 - 3
CAR
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 59 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
CAR
0 - 2
SIE
26%
23%
52%
|
27 | 62 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
ACP
3 - 1
CAR
83%
11%
6%
|
27 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
CAR
2 - 4
FIO
18%
21%
62%
|
27 | 85 | 58 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
SIE
2 - 0
CAR
85%
10%
5%
|
28 | 64 | 36 | -1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1958 |
CAG
0 - 2
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
TRI
3 - 1
CAG
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
ACM
3 - 0
CAG
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
CAG
2 - 2
CAT
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
CAG
1 - 0
COM
53%
27%
21%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |