Carbonia vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
41.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carbonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
LAN
36%
25%
39%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
SSC
2 - 0
CAR
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
AUR
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 1
CAR
43%
22%
35%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
VIS
3 - 1
CAR
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
APR
1 - 0
ULD
53%
24%
24%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
AUR
3 - 1
APR
29%
23%
48%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
APR
1 - 0
RMS
66%
19%
16%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
APR
0 - 3
GLA
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
AFR
0 - 0
APR
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |