Canicattì vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
15.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
4º
13º
10º
18
15º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 98 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 85 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 75 |
3º
|
88% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 69 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 59 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 54 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
|
9º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 46 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 44 |
12º
|
51% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 43 |
13º
|
65.5% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
74.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 31 |
16º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
17º
|
90.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
18 | 20 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 10 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canicattì
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
TRA
7 - 0
CAN
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
CAN
3 - 1
RAG
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CSA
2 - 1
CAN
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAN
3 - 0
NGI
77%
14%
9%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
LIC
0 - 3
CAN
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
USC
0 - 2
CAS
27%
23%
50%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
AKR
5 - 1
USC
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
USC
1 - 1
USV
10%
21%
70%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
TRA
3 - 1
USC
84%
12%
4%
|
29 | 59 | 30 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
USC
1 - 1
RAG
22%
22%
56%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |