Caldiero Terme vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+117%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldiero Terme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 3
LEG
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 1
CAL
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 2
VIL
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
GSD
0 - 0
CAL
34%
22%
45%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 3
CAR
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
LEG
0 - 0
VIL
54%
23%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 2
VIL
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
VIG
1 - 2
VIL
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
LEG
1 - 2
VIL
55%
23%
22%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |