Caldiero Terme vs Mestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldiero Terme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
DEL
0 - 3
CAL
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ADB
2 - 1
CAL
28%
22%
50%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 3
SDA
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
GSD
1 - 4
CAL
27%
22%
52%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 3
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
MES
2 - 0
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MON
0 - 1
MES
29%
25%
47%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
MES
0 - 2
GSD
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CLO
2 - 0
MES
39%
28%
34%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MES
0 - 3
CAM
57%
22%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |