Caldiero Terme vs Cartigliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
19.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
4º
10º
9º
45
5º
17º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 53 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
3.5% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
7º
|
80.5% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
47 | 48 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
45 | 48 |
10º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 33 |
16º
|
85% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
85% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldiero Terme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VIR
2 - 2
CAL
24%
23%
53%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
VIL
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AST
1 - 1
CAL
14%
18%
68%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
SDA
34%
26%
39%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
CAL
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cartigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
LEG
22%
23%
55%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ADB
2 - 4
CAR
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 2
ACE
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MES
0 - 1
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
VIR
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |