AS Bra vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
63.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Bra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ASD
0 - 3
ASS
19%
21%
60%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
MAN
4 - 1
ASD
79%
14%
8%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ASD
4 - 1
VIN
47%
23%
30%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
DEL
2 - 0
ASD
75%
16%
9%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ASD
1 - 2
RIM
26%
23%
52%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SPA
3 - 2
USA
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 2
FCC
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SAS
2 - 2
SPA
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SPA
4 - 2
BV5
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ASS
2 - 2
SPA
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |