AS Bra vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Bra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
4 - 0
ASD
77%
15%
8%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ASD
1 - 4
REN
18%
22%
60%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
BV5
5 - 1
ASD
82%
13%
6%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CUN
1 - 0
ASD
74%
17%
9%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ASD
2 - 2
PER
22%
23%
55%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
VIN
82%
14%
5%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
REA
2 - 4
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
USA
51%
25%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PER
0 - 0
SAN
34%
28%
37%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
VIR
63%
21%
15%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |