AS Bra vs Novese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Bra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
DER
3 - 1
ASD
43%
26%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ASD
1 - 4
BOR
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 2
ASD
41%
23%
37%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ASD
0 - 1
CAR
27%
26%
47%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
ASD
13%
18%
69%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Novese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 5
BEL
10%
17%
74%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ARG
7 - 0
NOV
78%
15%
8%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 7
LAV
12%
23%
65%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RAB
6 - 1
NOV
80%
14%
6%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 2
FEZ
33%
23%
44%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |