AS Bra vs Ligorna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Bra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 1
SAN
30%
22%
49%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ASD
4 - 1
APD
67%
17%
16%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 2
DER
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ARC
3 - 0
ASD
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 2
PRO
35%
26%
39%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Ligorna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
ACD
3 - 0
LIG
82%
13%
5%
|
27 | 64 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
LAV
3 - 2
LIG
42%
25%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
LIG
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
LIG
0 - 3
URI
57%
21%
23%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
GHI
0 - 0
LIG
57%
22%
21%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |