AS Bra vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Bra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 5
GOZ
25%
26%
49%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 2
ASD
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +3 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 2
INV
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 0
ASD
28%
22%
50%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 0
BOR
80%
12%
7%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 0
INV
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 0
FOL
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 2
BOR
69%
17%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
FOL
31%
27%
42%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
FOL
1 - 0
CAS
86%
10%
4%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |