AS Bra vs Castellazzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.2%
3.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Bra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
PIN
1 - 2
ASD
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ASD
0 - 1
VFC
76%
14%
10%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VOG
1 - 2
ASD
57%
23%
21%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ASD
1 - 0
SET
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SES
2 - 0
ASD
62%
23%
16%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Castellazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 3
BEL
11%
17%
72%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
RAB
2 - 2
CAS
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
ARG
11%
17%
72%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
DER
2 - 0
CAS
75%
16%
10%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
LAV
12%
21%
68%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | +3 |