AS Bra vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Bra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
ASD
9%
16%
75%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 1
CHI
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BOR
1 - 0
ASD
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
ASD
1 - 1
SER
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
ASD
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
TOR
5 - 1
CAS
95%
4%
1%
|
30 | 84 | 54 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
INV
22%
22%
56%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +3 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 0
CAS
57%
20%
23%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BOR
1 - 1
CAS
35%
23%
43%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 2
VAR
9%
20%
71%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | +3 |