AS Bra vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
66.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Bra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 0
ASD
80%
14%
6%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ASD
0 - 1
INV
24%
23%
53%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 1
ASD
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ASD
1 - 2
BOR
41%
25%
35%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
PRO
1 - 0
ASD
67%
20%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 0
VOG
83%
13%
5%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 0
CAR
79%
15%
7%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 3
BOR
85%
11%
4%
|
62 | 27 | 35 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
INV
0 - 1
VAR
12%
23%
65%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 0
FOL
85%
11%
4%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |