Albissola vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
62.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albissola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 0
ASA
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ASA
1 - 2
ARZ
27%
29%
45%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
PIS
1 - 1
ASA
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
PIA
1 - 1
ASA
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ASA
2 - 1
ARZ
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
PON
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
OLB
3 - 1
CAR
20%
22%
58%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 2
PIA
52%
24%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 2
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
IMO
2 - 1
CAR
35%
24%
41%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |