Ascona vs Zug 94 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
59.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
14º
16º
14º
51
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
ASC
48%
22%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 0
BRU
27%
22%
51%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 2
ASC
50%
22%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ASC
0 - 1
FCC
38%
25%
37%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GOL
1 - 2
ASC
71%
15%
14%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Zug 94
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ZUG
8 - 3
CHA
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BRU
2 - 1
ZUG
22%
23%
55%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ZUG
2 - 2
FCS
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 0
ZUG
18%
22%
60%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ZUG
1 - 1
GOL
71%
17%
13%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |