Ascona vs Willisau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
13.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ASC
0 - 0
CAS
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
KUS
1 - 3
ASC
26%
23%
52%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ASC
5 - 2
GOL
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 2
ASC
83%
12%
5%
|
22 | 64 | 42 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LUZ
1 - 5
ASC
31%
23%
46%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
WIL
7 - 2
KUS
55%
20%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GOL
7 - 3
WIL
81%
11%
8%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 4
BEL
14%
20%
67%
|
18 | 64 | 46 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LUZ
1 - 1
WIL
35%
22%
43%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
WIL
4 - 2
ESC
27%
22%
51%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +2 |