Ascona vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
IBA
0 - 0
ASC
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
ASC
0 - 3
TEA
39%
23%
37%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 1
HER
46%
21%
32%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HOC
1 - 1
ASC
28%
23%
50%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
ASC
2 - 2
WIL
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 2
ESC
38%
24%
38%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 2
IBA
28%
25%
47%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TAV
1 - 2
SAR
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SAR
3 - 1
LUZ
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 0
HER
27%
22%
51%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |