Ascona vs Hochdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
IBA
4 - 2
ASC
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 5
ASC
37%
24%
39%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ESC
1 - 3
ASC
46%
24%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ASC
3 - 1
SAR
48%
22%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 2
LOC
12%
18%
70%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Hochdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HOC
0 - 0
EMM
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
HOC
2 - 1
GUN
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
IBA
1 - 1
HOC
42%
24%
35%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
HOC
0 - 0
GOL
38%
24%
39%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
ESC
0 - 2
HOC
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |