Ascona vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
44%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SAR
5 - 1
ASC
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ASC
0 - 0
RUS
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ASC
0 - 4
FCS
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GOL
0 - 2
ASC
52%
22%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ASC
1 - 1
LUZ
66%
18%
15%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
COL
2 - 4
HER
20%
19%
61%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
GOL
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HER
1 - 4
IBA
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GUN
1 - 3
HER
20%
21%
59%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
BUO
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |