Ascona vs Goldau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
59.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
PER
2 - 2
ASC
54%
21%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ASC
7 - 2
BRU
22%
21%
57%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +3 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LUG
3 - 0
ASC
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 1
ASC
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ASC
2 - 2
IBA
35%
25%
41%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
GOL
3 - 0
NOV
81%
11%
8%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
IBA
2 - 0
GOL
27%
22%
51%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
GOL
2 - 1
HER
65%
17%
18%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
TAV
2 - 3
GOL
28%
23%
49%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
GOL
5 - 0
SAR
88%
8%
4%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |