Ascona vs Goldau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
31.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ASC
4 - 4
GUN
68%
18%
15%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
EMM
0 - 3
ASC
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ASC
3 - 5
HOC
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
IBA
4 - 2
ASC
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 5
ASC
37%
24%
39%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BUO
4 - 2
GOL
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GOL
1 - 5
TAV
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
RUS
2 - 3
GOL
38%
23%
39%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GOL
3 - 1
GCB
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GOL
3 - 0
EMM
77%
15%
9%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |