Ascona vs Biaschesi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
BUO
3 - 0
ASC
76%
14%
10%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 2
TAV
47%
23%
30%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
RUS
3 - 1
ASC
51%
22%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 0
GOL
46%
23%
32%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ASC
4 - 4
GUN
68%
18%
15%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Biaschesi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
TAV
2 - 0
GCB
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
GCB
1 - 1
RUS
26%
23%
52%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
GCB
1 - 2
GUN
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
GCB
0 - 0
EMM
57%
23%
20%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
HOC
2 - 0
GCB
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |