Ascona vs Eschenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
ASC
41%
24%
35%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
VED
2 - 0
ASC
30%
23%
48%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ZOF
2 - 0
ASC
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ASC
3 - 2
GOL
27%
22%
51%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
IBA
0 - 0
ASC
52%
24%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Eschenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
HOC
1 - 0
ESC
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ESC
2 - 2
BRU
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 0
VED
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
ESC
55%
21%
24%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ZOF
3 - 1
ESC
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |