Ascona vs Buochs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
52.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
TAV
0 - 2
ASC
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ASC
2 - 3
RUS
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
GUN
4 - 0
ASC
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
GCB
0 - 4
ASC
16%
20%
64%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ASC
0 - 1
EMM
77%
15%
9%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
BUO
2 - 1
EMM
85%
10%
5%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
HOC
2 - 0
BUO
18%
19%
63%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
BUO
1 - 3
IBA
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
GOL
2 - 1
BUO
28%
22%
50%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
BUO
2 - 0
ESC
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |