Ascona vs Brunnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
21.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
ASC
6 - 0
ESC
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
ASC
41%
24%
35%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
VED
2 - 0
ASC
30%
23%
48%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ZOF
2 - 0
ASC
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ASC
3 - 2
GOL
27%
22%
51%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Brunnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BRU
1 - 0
VED
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ESC
2 - 2
BRU
46%
22%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BRU
0 - 2
ZOF
17%
18%
65%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GOL
4 - 4
BRU
80%
12%
9%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BRU
0 - 0
IBA
34%
22%
44%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |