Ascona vs Novazzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
36.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
IBA
0 - 1
ASC
56%
22%
21%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ASC
0 - 2
HER
21%
20%
58%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
TAV
0 - 3
ASC
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ASC
1 - 0
SAR
47%
23%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 1
ASC
60%
21%
19%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
LUG
47%
22%
31%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 0
ESC
48%
22%
30%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
IBA
43%
22%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
HER
7 - 0
NOV
66%
18%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
3 - 1
TAV
32%
22%
47%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |