Ascoli vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2017 |
PRG
1 - 0
ASC
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ASC
0 - 0
USC
49%
26%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
PAR
4 - 0
ASC
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ASC
0 - 2
USF
39%
24%
36%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
4 - 2
ASC
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ACD
3 - 1
BAR
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 1
ACD
44%
28%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ACD
0 - 0
VNZ
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
AVE
0 - 0
ACD
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ACD
2 - 2
CES
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |