Ascoli vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CTT
0 - 1
ASC
51%
27%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ASC
1 - 1
ATL
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
LIV
1 - 1
ASC
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ASC
1 - 0
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
EMP
1 - 0
ASC
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 0
NOV
34%
30%
37%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ABN
2 - 2
VIC
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 0
TOR
34%
30%
36%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
VIC
0 - 1
REG
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CTT
0 - 1
VIC
54%
26%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |