Ascoli vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 0
ASC
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
ASC
2 - 0
MOD
52%
24%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
GAL
1 - 4
ASC
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
ASC
3 - 1
CRO
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2010 |
FRO
1 - 5
ASC
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
VIC
3 - 1
REG
33%
29%
38%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
SAS
2 - 1
VIC
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
VIC
1 - 2
ABN
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
VIC
0 - 0
SAL
59%
25%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 0
VIC
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |