Ascoli vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
15.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
25.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
ASC
1 - 0
SAM
45%
30%
25%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
VAR
3 - 1
ASC
55%
27%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
ASC
0 - 1
FIO
22%
32%
46%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
ACM
2 - 0
ASC
85%
11%
5%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1974 |
ROM
1 - 0
ASC
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
VIC
2 - 0
CES
57%
28%
15%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
FIO
0 - 0
VIC
71%
19%
10%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
SAM
1 - 1
VIC
50%
30%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
VIC
1 - 0
TER
57%
26%
16%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1974 |
VIC
0 - 1
BOL
38%
29%
32%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |