Ascoli vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
VIC
1 - 1
ASC
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
ASC
1 - 0
PIA
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
BAR
0 - 1
ASC
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
ASC
2 - 3
ABN
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
VER
2 - 2
ASC
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
VNZ
2 - 0
FCC
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
SAL
0 - 0
VNZ
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
VNZ
2 - 0
VIC
32%
27%
42%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
EMP
5 - 2
VNZ
71%
20%
9%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
VNZ
0 - 0
MOD
28%
28%
44%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |