Ascoli vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.9%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
11.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
TER
1 - 0
ASC
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
ASC
4 - 1
VAR
58%
25%
18%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
LEC
0 - 0
ASC
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
ASC
1 - 0
AVE
63%
24%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
ASC
3 - 0
MOD
65%
24%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
USC
1 - 0
SAM
40%
31%
29%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
USC
0 - 0
SSS
47%
30%
23%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
TAR
0 - 0
USC
60%
25%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
USC
2 - 1
TER
43%
30%
27%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
VAR
2 - 1
USC
58%
27%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |