Ascoli vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
FIO
1 - 0
ASC
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
ASC
1 - 1
SAM
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1988 |
ASC
1 - 1
JUV
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1988 |
PIS
1 - 1
ASC
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1988 |
ASC
2 - 1
INT
31%
29%
40%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
AVE
1 - 0
PIS
54%
27%
19%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
AVE
1 - 1
PES
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1988 |
COM
0 - 0
AVE
43%
29%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1988 |
AVE
0 - 0
ACM
32%
31%
38%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1988 |
SAM
2 - 0
AVE
69%
20%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |