Ascoli vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
17%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
PRG
0 - 0
ASC
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
ROM
1 - 0
ASC
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
UDI
3 - 1
ASC
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
ASC
2 - 0
BOL
51%
28%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
ACM
3 - 0
ASC
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
AVE
1 - 0
JUV
19%
31%
50%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
AVE
0 - 0
INT
21%
30%
48%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
NAP
0 - 1
AVE
71%
20%
10%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
AVE
0 - 0
UDI
45%
30%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
PES
1 - 1
AVE
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |