Ascoli vs AlbinoLeffe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MOD
2 - 0
ASC
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ASC
3 - 0
PES
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 0
ASC
75%
18%
8%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ASC
0 - 0
JUS
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
REG
1 - 1
ASC
65%
22%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ABN
0 - 1
VIC
51%
24%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CRO
5 - 2
ABN
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ABN
2 - 3
SAS
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LIV
4 - 1
ABN
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
PAD
3 - 2
ABN
65%
22%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |