Ascoli vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2004 |
ASC
1 - 0
FCC
66%
22%
13%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
ARZ
0 - 0
ASC
46%
25%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
ASC
0 - 3
TOR
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
EMP
2 - 1
ASC
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CES
1 - 1
ASC
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
TRE
1 - 1
PES
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
PRG
2 - 0
TRE
81%
14%
5%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
TRE
1 - 4
ARZ
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
SAL
0 - 0
TRE
45%
27%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
TRI
4 - 2
TRE
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |