Ascoli vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ABN
3 - 3
ASC
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
ASC
2 - 1
MES
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 1
ASC
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
ASC
1 - 0
VER
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
FIO
0 - 0
ASC
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
TRE
0 - 3
ATL
27%
29%
44%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
TOR
2 - 1
TRE
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
TRE
1 - 1
VIC
38%
27%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
PES
1 - 2
TRE
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
TRE
4 - 0
SAL
53%
26%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |