Serie B Playoffs Playoff Ascenso Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Ascoli vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
ASC
1 - 0
MOD
35%
29%
37%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
SAL
2 - 1
ASC
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
ASC
0 - 1
PRG
26%
27%
48%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
CES
1 - 2
ASC
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
ASC
1 - 0
PES
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
TRE
0 - 1
TOR
39%
29%
32%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
TOR
3 - 1
ABN
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
TER
1 - 1
TOR
40%
29%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
TOR
1 - 0
TRI
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
FCC
1 - 1
TOR
23%
28%
50%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |