Ascoli vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
18%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
17.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 3
ASC
52%
28%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
ASC
1 - 0
LEC
45%
29%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
AVE
0 - 0
ASC
42%
30%
28%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
COM
1 - 2
ASC
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
ASC
0 - 0
USC
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
TER
0 - 0
SAM
42%
30%
27%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
FCC
1 - 0
TER
64%
22%
13%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
TER
1 - 1
USC
62%
25%
13%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
TER
1 - 0
VAR
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
LAZ
4 - 1
TER
81%
13%
7%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |