Ascoli vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
23.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
ASC
0 - 2
CAG
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
RIM
7 - 0
ASC
35%
23%
42%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
MAC
5 - 1
ASC
26%
22%
52%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1972 |
TER
3 - 1
NOV
55%
27%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1972 |
BRE
1 - 0
TER
50%
28%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1972 |
TER
2 - 0
REG
52%
29%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1972 |
SOR
1 - 2
TER
30%
27%
44%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
TER
2 - 2
ARZ
55%
28%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |