Ascoli vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
ASC
0 - 0
VER
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
PIA
2 - 0
ASC
48%
26%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
ASC
5 - 0
BOL
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1993 |
ASC
0 - 2
FIA
69%
20%
12%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1993 |
VNZ
0 - 1
ASC
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
TAR
1 - 1
VNZ
33%
30%
37%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
COS
2 - 1
TAR
60%
25%
16%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
TAR
0 - 0
BAR
27%
30%
43%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1993 |
VER
1 - 0
TAR
68%
20%
11%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
TAR
0 - 0
MOD
42%
29%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |