Ascoli vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
LEC
1 - 0
ASC
54%
22%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
ROM
1 - 1
ASC
64%
23%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
ASC
0 - 0
BOL
34%
31%
35%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
SAM
1 - 0
ASC
56%
27%
17%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
PRG
1 - 1
ASC
56%
27%
17%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
TAR
1 - 1
TOR
18%
27%
55%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1976 |
TAR
2 - 1
VIC
38%
33%
30%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
SSS
1 - 1
TAR
49%
31%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
TAR
3 - 2
PIA
40%
30%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
TAR
1 - 0
ATL
43%
33%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |