Ascoli vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1993 |
MOD
4 - 1
ASC
39%
29%
32%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
ASC
3 - 1
PAD
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1993 |
CES
1 - 2
ASC
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
ASS
2 - 1
ASC
32%
30%
38%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1992 |
ASC
1 - 1
COS
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1993 |
SPA
3 - 0
TER
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
SPA
2 - 1
VER
28%
30%
43%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1993 |
COS
3 - 1
SPA
55%
28%
18%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1993 |
SPA
1 - 1
LEC
41%
28%
32%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
CES
1 - 1
SPA
62%
24%
14%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | +1 |