Ascoli vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
19.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
16.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
SSS
1 - 1
ASC
31%
33%
37%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
ASC
2 - 0
PAL
57%
28%
15%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
VIC
1 - 1
ASC
57%
26%
17%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
ASC
1 - 0
NOV
63%
26%
11%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
PES
2 - 1
ASC
35%
32%
33%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
SPA
0 - 0
VAR
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
AVE
1 - 1
SPA
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
SPA
0 - 1
ASS
65%
23%
12%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
TAR
1 - 0
SPA
39%
31%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
SPA
4 - 0
TER
55%
27%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |