Ascoli vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
CTT
0 - 1
ASC
64%
20%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 4
VER
18%
25%
57%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
ASC
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ASC
0 - 2
SPE
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
ASC
0 - 0
CES
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 1
ACD
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 1
SAL
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 1
BEN
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SPA
3 - 2
SAL
41%
28%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 0
TRA
34%
27%
40%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |