Ascoli vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
VER
5 - 0
ASC
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
ASC
1 - 5
UDI
24%
27%
49%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
VNZ
4 - 0
ASC
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
ASC
0 - 0
VIC
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
PES
0 - 3
ASC
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAL
67%
21%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
SAL
1 - 1
ASL
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
UDI
1 - 1
SAL
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
SAL
4 - 1
VER
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
COM
1 - 4
SAL
37%
30%
33%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |