Ascoli vs Roma analysis

Ascoli Roma
71 ELO 74
-16.8% Tilt 0%
895º General ELO ranking 18º
43º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
49.7%
Ascoli
27.9%
Draw
22.5%
Roma

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
Ascoli
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
22.5%
Win probability
Roma
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ascoli
-14%
-5%
Roma

ELO progression

Ascoli
Roma
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ascoli
Ascoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 1979
FIO
Fiorentina
1 - 0
Ascoli
ASC
61%
23%
16%
71 79 8 0
29 Apr. 1979
ASC
Ascoli
0 - 0
Vicenza
VIC
46%
27%
28%
71 74 3 0
22 Apr. 1979
ASC
Ascoli
2 - 0
Avellino
AVE
61%
24%
15%
71 66 5 0
14 Apr. 1979
ATL
Atalanta
3 - 2
Ascoli
ASC
42%
28%
30%
71 66 5 0
08 Apr. 1979
INT
Inter
1 - 1
Ascoli
ASC
65%
21%
14%
71 84 13 0

Matches

Roma
Roma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 1979
ROM
Roma
2 - 2
Atalanta
ATL
65%
23%
12%
75 68 7 0
29 Apr. 1979
INT
Inter
1 - 2
Roma
ROM
67%
21%
12%
74 84 10 +1
22 Apr. 1979
JUV
Juventus
4 - 1
Roma
ROM
77%
16%
7%
74 87 13 0
14 Apr. 1979
ROM
Roma
1 - 1
Fiorentina
FIO
45%
28%
27%
74 79 5 0
08 Apr. 1979
AVE
Avellino
0 - 0
Roma
ROM
37%
31%
31%
74 65 9 0