Ascoli vs Rimini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
ABN
2 - 0
ASC
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
ASC
1 - 2
CTT
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2008 |
PIA
2 - 0
ASC
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ASC
0 - 2
GRO
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
AVE
0 - 2
ASC
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
RIM
1 - 0
MAN
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
LIV
2 - 1
RIM
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
RIM
2 - 0
BRE
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
FRO
3 - 1
RIM
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
ANC
5 - 0
RIM
29%
29%
42%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |