Ascoli vs Rimini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
11.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
COM
4 - 0
ASC
54%
27%
18%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
ASC
1 - 1
CAG
45%
29%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
TAR
2 - 1
ASC
34%
33%
33%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
ASC
2 - 0
TER
64%
24%
12%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
MOD
1 - 0
ASC
34%
31%
35%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
RIM
1 - 0
MOD
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
RIM
0 - 0
ATL
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
COM
1 - 0
RIM
73%
20%
8%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
RIM
0 - 1
SSS
52%
26%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
SPA
1 - 1
RIM
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |